Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.029046 0.031211 0.033384 0.035727 0.038178 0.040664 0.043372
2025-12-21 0.024259 0.027595 0.031068 0.034942 0.039128 0.043504 0.048410
2025-12-28 0.022087 0.026204 0.030606 0.035634 0.041191 0.047117 0.053888
2026-01-04 0.020106 0.024747 0.029823 0.035739 0.042399 0.049619 0.057992
2026-01-11 0.018365 0.023380 0.028981 0.035627 0.043229 0.051588 0.061408
2026-01-18 0.017343 0.022737 0.028869 0.036258 0.044824 0.054353 0.065663
2026-01-25 0.016088 0.021725 0.028247 0.036225 0.045596 0.056135 0.068768
2026-02-01 0.014987 0.020821 0.027686 0.036202 0.046326 0.057828 0.071738
2026-02-08 0.013990 0.019981 0.027146 0.036154 0.046984 0.059405 0.074549
2026-02-15 0.013058 0.019166 0.026588 0.036040 0.047527 0.060820 0.077152
2026-02-22 0.012243 0.018452 0.026115 0.035993 0.048120 0.062271 0.079779
2026-03-01 0.011368 0.017614 0.025446 0.035667 0.048345 0.063262 0.081849
2026-03-08 0.010395 0.016631 0.024595 0.035139 0.048365 0.064072 0.083795
2026-03-15 0.009354 0.015510 0.023531 0.034314 0.048007 0.064427 0.085212
2026-03-22 0.009003 0.015316 0.023659 0.034994 0.049512 0.067038 0.089345
2026-03-29 0.008460 0.014817 0.023357 0.035098 0.050277 0.068736 0.092372
2026-04-05 0.007880 0.014232 0.022909 0.034987 0.050751 0.070062 0.094941
2026-04-12 0.007602 0.014071 0.023026 0.035611 0.052157 0.072542 0.098926
2026-04-19 0.007121 0.013579 0.022664 0.035578 0.052706 0.073948 0.101589
2026-04-26 0.006677 0.013118 0.022323 0.035556 0.053253 0.075344 0.104237
2026-05-03 0.006256 0.012667 0.021977 0.035508 0.053756 0.076675 0.106802
2026-05-10 0.005843 0.012205 0.021595 0.035396 0.054160 0.077874 0.109198
2026-05-17 0.005477 0.011797 0.021273 0.035349 0.054639 0.079162 0.111705